August 1, 2006

Box Office Update 7/28-7/30: Miami Vice Takes Down Captain Jack

It took four weeks, but Captain Jack has finally been unseated from his perch atop the box office charts. It wan't without a fight, but the pirate concedes defeat, for now. Despite losing the top spot, it is now sitting at number eleven on the all time domestic list, and is poised to jump up a few more spots, potentially reaching Spider-Man at number six with $403 million.

Michael Mann's re-imagination of Miami Vice proved to be a strong draw this week. Colin Farrell and Jamie Foxx take on the roles from the 80's television series. The movie has them going undercover as drug transporters, operating between Columbia and southern Florida. The movie is decent, but I do not see it becoming a blockbuster. I belive it will trail off, and perhaps make it to $100 million.

Also debuting this week is John Tucker Must Die, which did better than I would have thought. I guess nothing should surprise me. I did not see this, but enough people did to push it up to third. The last film that hit wide release this week was The Ant Bully, a visually interesting, but ultimately lackluster computer animated film.

Among the returning films, The Devil Wears Prada continued to show strong legs. It held strong in 9th in it's fifth week of release, suffering a drop of a mere 35%. Lady in the Water, on the other hand, slipped over 60%, falling to sixth place. I guess word of mouth is out on that one. Then there is My Super Ex-Girlfriend, another one with poor word of mouth, slipping in the 50%+ range, falling to tenth place.

Three films dropped from the list this week: Superman Returns (12), Clerks II (11), and Cars (14).

This Week

Last WeekTitleWknd GrossOverallWeek in release
1NMiami Vice$25,723,815$25,723,8151

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

3NJohn Tucker Must Die$14,276,534$14,276,5341
42Monster House$11,663,308$44,035,2902
5NThe Ant Bully$8,432,465$8,432,4651

Lady in the Water

73You, Me, and Dupree$7,106,280$59,119,0203
85Little Man$5,124,245$50,187,2623
99The Devil Wears Prada$4,673,346$106,561,8875
106My Super Ex-Girlfriend$4,096,933$16,751,2862

Box Office Predictions Recap
Not too good this week, I was able to successfully predict the top 2, but that was about it. As for my gross prediction, they are still rather gross.


PredictionTitleWknd GrossPrediction
11Miami Vice$25,723,815$28 million
22Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest$20,606,578$23 million
43Monster House$11,663,308$17 million
54The Ant Bully$8,432,465$16 million

John Tucker Must Die


$13.5 million

76Lady in the Water$7,144,275$9 million
107My Super Ex-Girlfriend$4,096,933$8 million
118Clerks II$4,008,335$4.5 million
99The Devil Wears Prada$4,673,346$3 million
1210Superman Returns$3,788,228$2.5 million

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