November 13, 2009

New Movies and Box Office Predictions: 11/13

This week's wide releases -
Pirate Radio

As we start drawing closer to Oscar season, not to mention Thanksgiving and Christmas, I think it is only natural to have a little bit of a lull. This weekend would appear to be it. It is not about the size of the movie, but the quantity of them and their relative Oscar chances. I think it is safe to say this week's new releases have equal Oscar chances, despite their comparative box office potential. I still look forward to both of them. How about you? Are this week's offerings up your alley? Or are you waiting for some more meatier fare?

2012. (2009, 158 minutes, PG-13, thriller) This film is Roland Emmerich's latest attempt at destroying the known world takes its cue from the Mayan calendar, which ends in December of 2012. This follows John Cusack as he and his loved ones attempt to survive the end of the world. Sounds rather final doesn't it? Don't worry, they are already shopping a sequel, a television series that chronicles what happens after the end of the world. Now, I am not really expecting that much from it, but no one wrecks the world like Roland. The effects look rather spectacular and I hope that it pays off on the big screen. What worries me the most is this run time that goes past the two and a half hour mark. Is that not a bit excessive? I hope it doesn't feel boring.

Pirate Radio. (2009, 115 minutes, R, comedy/drama) I really wish they had kept the original title, it sounds more fun and I just like it. The original title was The Boat That Rocked and I believe that is how it was released in the UK. The movie was written and directed by Richard Curtis (Love, Actually) and tells the true story of how rock and roll was banned from the radio and the American DJ who challenged the law and set up shop on a tanker with a group of like minded souls. The trailers look like a lot of fun and the cast is solid. The cast includes Philip Seymour Hoffman, Bill Nighy, Rhys Ifans, Nick Frost, and Kenneth Branagh.

Also opening this week, but not near me:

  • The Fantastic Mr. Fox
  • Uncertainty
  • Women in Trouble

Box Office Predictions
2012 is expected to be big. They have to justify that $150 million budget, you know. I do not doubt that will be the big winner with A Christmas Carol coming in a relatively distant second. The question about 2012 is just how high will it go? That is the big question. I am sure the long run time wont help it. As for the week's other wide release? Probably won't make much of a dent, despite the fact it looks pretty good.

Here is how I think it could play out.

RankTitleBox Office
12012$52 million
2A Christmas Carol 3D$21 million
3Michael Jackson's This Is It$7.5 million
4The Men Who Stare at Goats$7 million
5The Fourth Kind$6 million
6Precious$5 million
7Paranormal Activity$4 million
8Pirate Radio$3.5 million
9Couples Retreat$3 million
10Law Abiding Citizen$2.5 million

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