August 29, 2006

Box Office Update 8/25-8/27: Disney is Invincible

Well, it had to happen sooner or later. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest has finally been ousted from the top ten. It fell from 8 to 12 this week, taking in nearly $4 million. It is easily going to be the biggest film of the year, not to mention one of the biggest domestic and worldwide hits of all time. It's worldwide take is nearing $1 billion dollars, which will make it the fourth film to do so. Disney must be very, very happy with that. It will be interesting to see how the third performs next year.

This week's top performer was another Disney film, the inspirational sports drama Invincible. It had a strong opening, more than doubling the take of the number 2 film. I donated my ticket price to that take when I saw it on Friday. It may follow a formula, but Disney has it on lockdown, each time they put one of these out, they nail it. It is a good, upbeat film that works well with the back school season, not to mention the impending return of the NFL.

The next new release this week came in at number 4, the sophomoric Beerfest. It is a film that is fitfully funny, but could have used a bit more time in the editing room. It is dumb, and crass, but it has plenty of laugh out loud moments. Due to the R rating and the limited audience, this will probably sink relatively quickly. The final new film in the top ten is Idlewild, the period musical drama featuring the member sof Outkast in lead roles. I have heard mixed reviews about the film, but I have to say it looks good and I hope to see it later this week.

There was one other film entering wide release this week, but it failed to crack the top ten. That film is Walden Media's How to Eat Fried Worms, based on the children's novel. I actually thought that this would do well, but I guess I was wrong. Now I suspect this will disappear very quickly.

Last week's number one film slipped down to number 7. Snakes on a Plane dipped just over 55%, which is actually better than I had expected. It is a fun B flick that has a very narrow range of appeal. I figured it would have slipped in the 62% or more range. Still, it was the biggest drop of all the returning films on the list. At the opposite end of the scale is Barnyard which slipped a mere 25%, I am surprised how long this one has held on. Also doing pretty well is Accepted, the perfect last film before heading off to college, which fell 36.7%.

The one film that makes me happy is Little Miss Sunshine. It is a very funny film, and each of the past two weeks it has climbed up the charts. This week it jumped from number 7 to number 3, with a 31% increase in box office. I like seeing this film slowly going wider and more and more people discovering it. It is completely enjoyable, now stop reading this and go see it!

Three films dropped from the list this week: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (12), Material Girls (13), and Pulse (15).

This Week

Last WeekTitleWknd GrossOverallWeek in release

Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby

37Little Miss Sunshine$7,371,263$22,895,2575
53World Trade Center$6,473,299$55,642,5173


71Snakes on a Plane$6,167,366$26,319,3902
84Step Up$6,163,436$50,395,8743

Box Office Predictions Recap
I actually placed 5 films right! But, I have to throw that all awa for my simply awful prediction for Fried Worms, somehow I thought the family demographic would come out for it. I was also wrong about Pirates hangingon for one more week. Oh well, I tried, and I'm ahppy for getting half the placements right.


PredictionTitleWknd GrossPrediction
11Invincible$17,031,122$18 million
22Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby$8,122,642$9 million
113How to Eat Fried Worms$4,003,537$7.5 million
44Beerfest$7,031,228$7 million

World Trade Center


$6 million

66Accepted$6,344,475$5.5 million
97Idlewild$5,745,780$5 million
78Snakes on a Plane$6,167,366$3.25 million
89Step Up$6,163,436$3 million
1210Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest$3,979,260$2 million

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