April 2, 2010

New Movies and Box Office Predictions: 4/2

This week's wide releases -
The Last Song
Clash of the Titans
Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too

Last week How to Tain Your Dragon (or Dreamworks' Dragons if you listen to the commercials) easily won the weekend with its combination of heartfelt storytelling and eye-popping visuals. It is a much better movie that my initial suspicions would have predicted. Now, will it take a second weekend? I don't think so, there is a new 3D movie in town poised to take over the top spot. The question there is if it will be able to hang onto more than one week.

The Last Song. (2010, 107 minutes, PG, romance/drama) I cannot say that I have much interest in this. I a sure it will have its fans, but I cannot say that a Miley Cyrus romance attracts me all that much. On top of that, I feel I have had my fill of Nicholas Sparks adaptations. In any case, Cyrus plays a city girl sent to spend a summer with her father (Greg Kinnear). He looks forward to spending some quality time with his daughter while she wants nothing to do with him. She meets a local and romance ensues.

Clash of the Titans. (2010, 118 minutes, PG-13, fantasy/action) Following Terminator: Salvation and Avatar it seems like Sam Worthington is the next newcomer to get pushed to the moon as an action hero. Will it stick? I have no idea. I do think he has some potential, but still need to see more of him to know if he can truly act. Here he plays the lead role in a remake of the fantasy film from the 80's, taking on the Harry Hamlin role. I think the film looks like fun, not terribly great, but a lot of potential fun as humans and the Greek gods face off. I will be seeing this and I will not be seeing it in 3D. I like 3D but I want the film to be intended for it. This was never filmed with that in mind, it was a decision made after the fact by suits blinded by Avatar's success. The film was complete and had its release rapidly approaching when they chose to do the retrofit, resulting in the release moving back a week and a new tag added to posters and trailers. So, I ask those who are interested in seeing it, see it in 2D as it was intended.

Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too. (2010, 121 minutes, PG-13, drama) There is no denying Tyler Perry's films have an audience, there is no denying that they do well, and there is no denying I hae little interest. I have nothing against him and I am glad to see that his voice has found a place on the big screen. I am just not a part of his target audience. This movie centers on four couples who meet for their annual vacation getaway only to be thown into turmoil when one of their exes arrives with intent to break up her new marriage and win her back. This problem puts the other relationships into perspective and they are forced to examine their lives.

Also opening this week, but not near me:

  • Breaking Upwards
  • The Greatest
  • The Thorn in My Heart
  • Warlord
Box Office Predictions
With Alice's dominance tempered and Dragons as the lame duck leader, it is now time for the Titans to rise. This is not a sign of quality, just how good the marketing was. Sure, quality comes into play sometime, but it is not a requirement. In any case, I am sure that Clash of the Titans will come out on top. As for the rest, your guess is as good as mine.

Here is how I think it could play out:
RankTitleBox Office
1Clash of the Titans$68 million
2How to Train Your Dragon$28 million
3Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too$18 million
4The Last Song$16 million
5Alice in Wonderland (2010)$10 million
6Hot Tub Time Machine$6.5 million
7The Bounty Hunter$5.75 million
8Diary of a Wimpy Kid$4.5 million
9She's Out of My League$2 million
10Shutter Island$1.5 million

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