June 23, 2009

Box Office Udate 6/19-6/21: The Proposal Toasts a Victory

This weekend was won pretty handily by The Proposal. The Sandra Bullock/Ryan Reynolds romantic comedy exceeded expectations by pulling in more than $33.5 million. Frankly, I am surprised. I did not think this duo had the power to pull down the top spot, but then again, what do I know? Wait, don't answer that. I had no doubt it would have a decent open, just not this big. I wonder if the return of the big summer blockbuster next weekend urged the couples to go out for some light fare without having to battle the geek crowds that will clog the cineplex next weekend? In any case, I have not yet seen it, so I cannot comment on the quality, but it is on my radar and will likely check it out within the next couple of weeks.

The big story this week continues to be the strong showings from both Up and The Hangover, finishing third and second, respectively. Both films have received rave reviews and the crowds have responded by going and going again. The former is poised to join Finding Nemo as the only Pixar films to cross the triple century mark. Honestly, I did not think it was going to have this much juice in it. It is an absolutely brilliant film, but it is decidedly non-traditional in the story it tells. I am very happy to see its success. As for The Hangover, it is well written and acted, and is uproariously funny, plus it is set to become only the third R-rated comedy to earn more than $200 million, joining Beverly Hills Cop and Wedding Crashers.

Moving down to fourth place will show you the Jack Black/Michael Cera team-up Year One. It is not getting that positive word of mouth it needs to succeed, especially in the wake of a critical thrashing. I suspect that this will not last that long. Funny thing is, I actually like the ancient road film. Perhaps if more people saw it as the movie 10,000 BC wanted to be, it would have done better.

There is really only one big story in the latter half of the chart, and that is the continuing success of Star Trek. From last week to this week, it actually did better! Unbelievable. I never would have thought that a Trek film would be doing this good and receive such great word throughout the mainstream, and that it is actually a good movie on top of it all! It will struggle to reach $300 million, but there is no way anyone can not be happy with its performance.

Next weekend will see what will likely be the years top dollar performer, if not a terrible critical success in My Sister's Keeper. Wait, I'm sorry that can't be write, I suspect that movie will have a decent critical reception and perform a little to the weak side of the box office. What I meant to say is next week will see the anticipated release of Michael Bay's toy commercial, more commonly known as Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen.

Two movies dropped off the top ten this week: Angels & Demons (11) and Drag Me to Hell (12).

This WeekLast WeekTitleWknd GrossOverallWeek in release
1NThe Proposal$33,627,598$33,627,5981
21The Hangover$26,753,473$152,817,0153
4NYear One$19,610,304$19,610,3041
53The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3$12,034,899$44,067,2242
64Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian$7,807,185$156,459,7445
77Star Trek$5,511,434$240,255,3407
86Land of the Lost$4,358,945$44,055,5103
95Imagine That$3,290,227$11,541,6052
108Terminator: Salvation$3,284,230$119,727,5285

Box Office Predictions Recap
If I had a mirror, this could have been a pretty good week for me. The top four were the mirror image of what I thought they were going to be. Funny thing, the mirror almost extends to the left side where my gross predictions are, with the number one and number four movies matching up almost exactly. No way did I think that Sandra Bullock would outdraw Jack Black, but then again, no one is going by me anyway so I should have known better. The rest of the cart almost fell in line, with most of the films matching up. Next week I can already tell you what the number one movie will be, but that is just too easy.

Here is how the field matched up:

ActualPredictionTitleWknd GrossPrediction
41Year One$19,610,304$27 million
32Up$23,492,677$23 million


3The Hangover$26,753,473$20 million
14The Proposal$33,627,598$19 million
55The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3$12,034,899

$12.5 million

66Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian$7,807,185$6 million
87Land of the Lost$4,358,945$5 million
78Star Trek$5,511,434$4 million
99Imagine That$3,290,227$3.25 million
1010Terminator: Salvation$3,284,230$3 million


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