July 27, 2007

New Movies and Box Office Predictions: I Know Who Killed Me, No Reservations, The Simpsons Movie, Sunshine

This week brings four new movies into wide release. All of them aspire to reach the top of the box office charts, although I think the winner is a foregone conclusion, as I feel only one has a true shot at the top spot. The Simpson clan are arriving on the silver screen, playing alongside Lindsay Lohan as a stripper, which are next to Catherine Zeta Jones tending to home and kitchen. It is a pretty busy weekend for the movie goer who likes to see it all. Are you ready to head out to the cineplex and catch a flick or three?

I Know Who Killed Me. (2007, 105 minutes, R, thriller, trailer) Well, Lindsay Lohan is in trouble again. To think I wanted to defend her as a good actress, or potentially good, that made a few bad decisions. It appears those bad decisions are becoming a lifestyle. Anyway, this isn't about that, this is about her new movie which is about to open. I have to say that I have doubts that it will be good, but the trailer looks interesting. Lohan plays a girl who writes stories about an alter ego, then she is kidnapped, tortured, and left for dead and when she awakens, she claims to not be who they think she is. Who knows? Maybe we'll all be surprised. Chris Sivertson directs from Jeff Hammond's screenplay.

No Reservations. (2007, 105 minutes, PG, drama/comedy, trailer) Catherine Zata Jones stars in this dramedy. she plays Kate, a perfectionist master chef whose anger issues lands her in counseling. Meanwhile, her sister dies in a car crash, and Kate is left to care for her young daughter (played by Abigail Breslin). To make things worse, a sous chef is hired on without her permission, he turns out to be a love interest in the form of Aaron Eckhart. I have heard good things about it, despite the fact the story does not really go anywhere. It was directed by Scott Hicks, who last directed Hearts in Atlantis.

The Simpsons Movie. (2007, 87 minutes, PG-13, animated comedy, trailer) D'oh! The yellow televised mainstays hit the big screen. After eighteen seasons on the small screen, Homer and the crew are moving into digs with a wider screen. I have not been the biggest fan of the most recent seasons of the show, so I am hoping that the movie is a bit better than that. The trailers have looked pretty funny, particularly the Spider-Pig bit. The story has Springfield being threatened by yet another goof by the family patriarch. Hopefully, it will pay off.

Sunshine. (2007, 120 minutes, R, science fiction, trailer) The more that I see of this movie, the more I am looking forward to it. Danny Boyle hasn't failed yet, from his Brit-gangster flick Trainspotting, to his revisionist zombie movie 28 Days Later, to his family film Millions. This time he takes on the science fiction genre. The story follows a space mission to restart the Sun, it is dying, and the world is frozen in an ice age. Of course, things do not go as planned, and the mission begins to fall apart. I sense a bit of Event Horizon, although I doubt this will have the horror element, but the feeling is there. The trailer is quite impressive, as are the other clips that have come out. Boyle has a strong cast that includes Cillian Murphy (28 Days Later, Batman Begins), Michelle Yeoh (Memoirs of a Geisha), Chris Evans (Fantastic Four), Hiroyuki Sanada (The Twilight Samurai), and Rose Byrne (28 Weeks Later, Marie Antoinette). The one thing I haven't liked are the recent trailers and clips that have popped up online which feature numerous death scenes from the movie. Still, can't wait to see the movie!

Who's Your Caddy? (2007, 93 minutes, PG-13, comedy, trailer) I saw the trailer for this, and found it to be rather annoying. It does not look all that funny. Anyway, it stars Big Boi as a rap mogul in Atlanta, who is joining, or rather, attempting to join a conservative country club, and facing some fierce opposition. Jeffrey Jones, Susan Ward, Sherri Shepherd, and Terry Crews co-star. It was directed by Don Michael Paul, who last directed the Lance Henriksen supernatural thriller The Garden.

Once. (2007, 85 minutes, R, musical romance, trailer) Yes, this opened some time ago, but it has been a rolling process, working its way through the arthouse circuit. A modern musical that critics have fallen in love with, making it one of the best reviewed movies of the year. It is the story of a street musician in Dublin and his meeting with a Czech immigrant covering their time together as he writes and rehearses music for an album, music that slowly reveals their relationship. The trailer looks very sweet. I hope to get a chance to see it.

Also opening this week, but not near me:
  • Arctic Tale
  • Moliere
  • No End in Sight
  • This is England

Box Office Predictions
The faux-gays will be knocked out of the top spot by the yellow colored Matt Groening creations. Just how big their opening will be is a wide open guessing game, I have seen guesses from as low as $22 million to over $50 million. I think it will be in the higher end of that spectrum, but I doubt it will crack $50 million, and I have doubts over long term holds for it. You see, there are 18 seasons worth of episodes out there, and with incessant reruns, it isn't hard to scratch that particular itch without shelling out at the cineplex. I also suspect that Harry Potter will be able to hold on to the second position while Chuck and Larry will slip to third. No Reservations will have a decent opening, but I feel it will open in fifth behind Hairspray.

Here is how I think the top ten field will play out:

RankTitleBox Office
1The Simpsons$42 million
2Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix$22 million
3I Know Pronounce You Chuck and Larry$20 million
4Hairspray$19 million
5No Reservations$17.5 million
6Transformers$12 million
7Ratatouille$6 million
8Live Free or Die Hard$4 million
91408$2 million
10License to Wed$1.5 million

What are you seeing this weekend?


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